Warmer world linked to poor pregnancy results

PARIS — Women exposed to high temperatures and heatwaves during pregnancy are more likely to have premature or stillborn babies, researchers said on Wednesday.

Such outcomes — closely linked to poverty, especially in the tropics — will likely increase with global warming, especially during more frequent and intense heatwaves, they reported in BMJ, a medical journal.

Even small increases "could have a major impact on public health as exposure to high temperatures is common and escalating," the study concluded.

Each year, 15 million babies are born premature, the leading cause of death among children under five, according to the World Health Organisation.

That mortality is concentrated in the developing world, especially Africa.

To quantify the impact of higher heat on pregnancy outcomes, an international team of researchers led by Matthew Chersich from Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Institute in Johannesburg looked at 70 peer-reviewed studies of 27 rich, poor and middle-income nations.

Of the 47 studies that concerned preterm births, 40 reported they were more common at higher temperatures.

The odds of a preterm birth rose, on average, by five per cent per one degree Celsius (1C) increase, and by 16 per cent during heatwave days, according to the new findings.

Global warming has seen Earth's average temperature rise by 1C over the last century, with greater increases over large land masses.

The number of exceptionally hot days are expected to increase most in the tropics, according to the United Nations’ climate science advisory panel, the IPCC.

'High risk' for heat

Extreme heatwaves — made more dangerous by high humidity — are projected to emerge earliest in these regions as well.

Limiting global warming to 1.5C instead of 2C — goals consistent with the Paris Agreement — would mean around 420 million fewer people frequently exposed to extreme heatwaves, the IPCC said in a 2018 report.

The new study also found that stillbirths increased by five per cent per 1C increase in temperature, with the link most pronounced in the last few weeks of pregnancy.

The impact of warmer days and heatwaves on low birth weight, which is associated with a host of health problems later in life, was smaller, but still significant, the researchers said.

As expected, adverse pregnancy outcomes associated with rising temperatures were strongest among poorer women.

Because other factors such as pollution might play a role in stillbirths and premature babies, the role of warmer temperatures is hard to pin down, the researchers acknowledged.

Nonetheless, the findings are strong enough to suggest that pregnant women "merit a place alongside the groups typically considered as at 'high risk' for heat-related conditions," they concluded.

More research and targeted health policies should be a high priority, they added.